The iPhone 5 won’t quite completely wipe out the competition when it arrives after a spot of tea, but it’s set to deliver an an armageddon-like blow to its two main adversaries if the latest statistics hold up. After a good month for the not-yet-existent iPhone 5 which showed a third or more of the general population saying they’re buying the fifth generation iPhone when it surfaces no matter what, the new month delivers even better news for Apple. And it’s bad news for rivals Android and BlackBerry.
The numbers show that less than half of Android users surveyed (47%) say they plan to buy another Android phone. That means user dissatisfaction with the platform is so high that the majority of people currently using an Android have already given up the on the platform. Aside from the kind of tech geeks who desire an overly complicated Linux-based phone, most current Android users are explainable either by the fact that the iPhone wasn’t on their preferred carrier at the time or an instance of a salesgeek promising them that Android would be “just like iPhone but better.” As the numbers show, the particular trick didn’t work. And now that the iPhone 5 is set to launch on Verizon and AT&T from day one, making it available to about three-quarters of all cellphone consumers (sorry, Sprint and T-Mobile users, you’re still in limbo until Apple says otherwise), those Android users have decided they’re moving to iPhone with their next phone purchase. Not only are 53% of Android users set to leave the platform, 42% of Android users say they’re moving to the iPhone, according to the survey conducted by highly respected tech analyst Gene Munster of Piper Jaffray as reported by CNN and Fortune…
The news is even worse for BlackBerry maker RIM: a full two-thirds, or sixty-seven percent of current BlackBerry users say they’re moving to the iPhone with their next purchase. And how many of them are moving from BlackBerry to Android? A whopping three percent.
While it’s generally agreed upon that BlackBerry has been on the decline for some time, there’s a perception in some circles that iPhone and Android are merely trading users, with a good amount of switchers flowing in both directions. Nope. That same study shows that ninety-four percent, or nearly all, current iPhone users say they’re sticking with iPhone for their next purchase. That doesn’t mean that all current iPhone 4 users will run out and buy an iPhone 5. But it does mean that if they decide to skip the iPhone 5, their next phone purchase will the iPhone 6 in 20122 or another future iPhone model.
These latest iPhone 5-leaning revelations come at a time when data has surfaced showing customer return rates for Android phones to be in the stratosphere, and dovetails with last year’s report which showed that Android’s planned retention rate may indeed be as low as twenty-eight percent. Any survey of any sample size is going to contain some level of discrepancy due to the fact that no survey can include the entire population or entire user base. But aside from Google’s own claims of Android activation numbers, there’s little other data to support the notion that Android is overtaking iPhone. In fact Apple CEO Steve Jobs has openly accused Google of playing funny business with those activation claims, although Google denied Jobs’ accusations. But as it stands, outside fo those unsubstantiated activation claims (Android phone manufacturers offer only isolated data), there’s little else to support the notion that Android is set to become the dominant smartphone platform; every independent survey, study, and statistic out there shows a massive wipeout coming in which nearly half the Android user base, and two-thirds of the Blackberry user base, ends up on the iPhone 5 with as much as one-third to one-half of the entire population using an iPhone 5 by the time it’s all said and done. Here’s more on the iPhone 5.